User blog:EnTrey/Trey Predicts: Survivor: Blood Vs. Water

Here is just what I think will happen in the game.

Episode One
One person from each tribe is going to be voted out right off the bat. On the Favorites, I'd say Colton would go, due to his bad history; most people would just want to avoid playing with him altogether. For the Loved Ones, I see Laura going, due to (at least appearing) to be the physically weakest.

Current Tribes: 

F: Gervase, Aras, Rupert, Tyson, Tina, Candice, Laura M., Monica, and Kat.

L: Brad, Hayden, John, Caleb, Vytas, Ciera, Katie, Marissa, and Rachel.

RI: Colton and Laura.

The Loved Ones appear a lot physically stronger, so I'll give them the first challenge win.

On the Favorites, I see an alliance of Aras, Tyson, and Tina forming. They'd bring in likable but not gamesmart Gervase, and Tina's fellow older women Monica and Laura M, and they'd vote out Rupert, who nobody wants to deal with at this point.

Episode Two
Caleb switches in for Colton on RI. Rupert gives up the challenge so his wife can go on, and is the first person officially eliminated from the game.

Current Tribes:

F: Gervase, Aras, Tyson, Tina, Candice, Laura M., Monica, and Kat.

L: Colton, Brad, Hayden, John, Vytas, Ciera, Katie, Marissa, and Rachel.

RI: Caleb and Laura B..

I'd say the Loved Ones win once again, since they still are the far stronger tribe.

The majority alliance on the favorites would probably take out Candice over Kat, since Candice is known more for playing too hard.

Episode Three
On RI, John switches in for Candice. He and Caleb win, and Laura B. is eliminated, making it official that the Bonehams suck.

Current Tribes:

F: Gervase, Aras, Tyson, Tina, Laura M., Monica, and Kat.

L: Colton, Brad, Hayden, Vytas, Candice, Ciera, Katie, Marissa, and Rachel.

RI: John and Caleb.

Now that the Loved Ones have lost John, probably the strongest physical player, they lose the challenge. Colton found an idol before Candice came along, and the two of them united form an alliance. They convince the some of the girls on the tribe, Katie, Rachel, and Ciera, to help them overthrow Brad, leader of both the tribe AND a bro-lliance with Vytas and Hayden (and formerly John).

Episode Four
On RI, John and Brad edge out Caleb, eliminating him.

Current Tribes:

F: Gervase, Aras, Tyson, Tina, Laura M., Monica, and Kat.

L: Colton, Hayden, Vytas, Candice, Ciera, Marissa, Katie, and Rachel.

RI: John and Brad

The Favorites probably win again. Vytas, Hayden, and Marissa find themselves being the outsiders. They look for an idol to no avail, since Colton already found it, and Colton gets Hayden voted out, knowing his Big Brother background.

Episode Five
On RI, John and Hayden eliminate Brad.

Current Tribes:

F: Gervase, Aras, Tyson, Tina, Laura M., Monica, and Kat.

L: Colton, Vytas, Candice, Ciera, Marissa, Katie, and Rachel.

RI: John and Hayden.

There is a tribe swap.

New Tribes

1: Vytas, Gervase, Tyson, Marissa, Ciera, Katie, and Rachel

2: Aras, Colton, Tina, Candice, Laura, Monica, and Kat.

I'm gonna assume tribe 2 loses here. Aras and Tina have the numbers to throw three votes at Candice, and two at Colton, to avoid an idol play. An idol is played by Colton on himself, and Candice is out

Episode Six
On RI, John shows no mercy to his wife and Candice goes home.

Current Tribes: 

1: Vytas, Gervase, Tyson, Marissa, Ciera, Katie, Rachel

2: Aras, Colton, Tina, Laura, Monica, Kat

Tribe 2 can get a win now.

Tyson quickly pulls in Rachel, who abandons Katie and Ciera, her old allies. He also pulls in Vytas and Gervase, and Marissa by association. He gets rid of Ciera, because he doesn't want to eliminate Tina's loved one.

Episode Seven
On RI, it's John, Hayden, and Ciera, but Laura takes Ciera's place. Laura is still eliminated.

Current Tribes:

1: Vytas, Gervase, Tyson, Marissa, Katie, Rachel

2: Aras, Colton, Tina, Ciera, Monica, Kat

Tribe 2 probably loses. Colton knows he's screwed, and is unanimously eliminated.

Episode Eight
On RI, the winner gets to return to the game. John is that winner.

Merge Tribe: Gervase, Aras, Vytas, John, Tyson, Katie, Ciera, Rachel, Kat, Monica, Tina, Marissa

Aras, Vytas, Katie, and Tina form a final four deal. Tyson and Rachel hatch a plan to take out power-playing Tina. They successfully get Kat, John, and Monica in on it. Marissa and Gervase at this point are solidly voting with the Aras/Tina group. Ciera becomes the swingvote, and she eliminates Tyson as revenge for him getting her out before.

Episode Nine
Rachel is still campaigning for the takedown of the Aras-Tina power group. After John, the AT's intended target, wins immunity again, they decide Rachel should be next. And go next she does.

Episode Ten
Rachel and Tyson face off on RI. Tyson becomes the second jerk to beat his girlfriend on RI.

The ATVK group seems solid, dragging Gervase and Marissa along. After John loses immunity, he is eliminated.

However, it is a double elimination. They must make a hasty decision, and the group decides to take out Monica over Kat and Ciera.

Episode Eleven
On RI, it's Monica, Tyson, and John. Monica is easily defeated.

Tribe: Gervase, Aras, Vytas, Tina, Marissa, Katie, Ciera, Kat

Ciera makes a last-ditch effort to take out Tina or Aras, but ultimately fails to flip Gervase and Marissa, and is eliminated.

Episode Twelve
Tyson and John EAT Ciera on RI.

I imagine a medical evacuation happens about now, and I'm going to go with Katie.

So Katie's out as well.

However, the tight five sticks together in taking Kat, the last of the outsiders, out.

Episode Thirteen
Kat is also eaten on RI.

Tina becomes the swingvote between Gervase and Marissa and Vytas and Aras. When Aras wins immunity, she decides to side with Gervase and they take Vytas out.

Episode Fourteen
The final RI comp is probably endurance, so thanks to yoga, Vytas outlasts John and Tyson and returns to the game.

Vytas manages to win final five immunity, and Aras is voted out.

Vytas wins final four immunity as well, so Gervase and Melissa take out Tina.

The final three sits in front of the jury, and it is generally agreed that Vytas played the best game. Vytas is the sole survivor.